Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.052495 0.061125 0.070593 0.081733 0.094463 0.108536 0.125253
2025-05-25 0.038973 0.050132 0.063498 0.080611 0.101859 0.127282 0.159911
2025-06-01 0.030738 0.043162 0.059225 0.081343 0.110805 0.148469 0.200000
2025-06-08 0.024042 0.036570 0.053930 0.079437 0.115590 0.164555 0.235349
2025-06-15 0.020842 0.034001 0.053365 0.083452 0.128408 0.192327 0.289092
2025-06-22 0.017405 0.030342 0.050487 0.083460 0.135188 0.212076 0.333440
2025-06-29 0.014285 0.026535 0.046665 0.081268 0.138079 0.226070 0.370393
2025-07-06 0.012032 0.023718 0.043904 0.080211 0.142348 0.242246 0.411869
2025-07-13 0.011046 0.022936 0.044392 0.084517 0.155684 0.273795 0.480308
2025-07-20 0.010015 0.021871 0.044182 0.087496 0.166966 0.302878 0.547153
2025-07-27 0.008522 0.019620 0.041436 0.085461 0.169099 0.316593 0.589215
2025-08-03 0.007431 0.017984 0.039601 0.084829 0.173579 0.334583 0.639935
2025-08-10 0.006293 0.016061 0.036957 0.082368 0.174531 0.346708 0.682035
2025-08-17 0.005393 0.014497 0.034813 0.080611 0.176616 0.361065 0.729465
2025-08-24 0.004794 0.013525 0.033786 0.081027 0.183028 0.384052 0.794829
2025-08-31 0.004110 0.012199 0.031754 0.078973 0.184089 0.396747 0.841565
2025-09-07 0.003886 0.012025 0.032364 0.082886 0.198155 0.436293 0.943778
2025-09-14 0.003461 0.011216 0.031324 0.082853 0.203626 0.458898 1.014024
2025-09-21 0.002984 0.010156 0.029484 0.080656 0.203999 0.470947 1.063725
2025-09-28 0.002624 0.009358 0.028186 0.079596 0.206816 0.488319 1.125712
2025-10-05 0.002524 0.009342 0.028967 0.083867 0.222552 0.534769 1.252490
2025-10-12 0.002378 0.009147 0.029227 0.086822 0.235421 0.575919 1.370830
2025-10-19 0.002075 0.008359 0.027688 0.084801 0.235903 0.589440 1.429952